Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.000167 0.000179 0.000193 0.000209 0.000226 0.000245 0.000266
2024-11-03 0.000141 0.000159 0.000179 0.000204 0.000232 0.000266 0.000308
2024-11-10 0.000128 0.000148 0.000171 0.000201 0.000237 0.000282 0.000341
2024-11-17 0.000117 0.000138 0.000164 0.000197 0.000240 0.000294 0.000369
2024-11-24 0.000110 0.000132 0.000160 0.000197 0.000246 0.000311 0.000405
2024-12-01 0.000104 0.000127 0.000156 0.000196 0.000251 0.000326 0.000438
2024-12-08 0.000100 0.000124 0.000155 0.000198 0.000260 0.000346 0.000481
2024-12-15 0.000094 0.000119 0.000150 0.000196 0.000261 0.000355 0.000509
2024-12-22 0.000091 0.000115 0.000148 0.000196 0.000266 0.000370 0.000546
2024-12-29 0.000088 0.000113 0.000147 0.000197 0.000273 0.000389 0.000591
2025-01-05 0.000085 0.000111 0.000146 0.000199 0.000281 0.000410 0.000643
2025-01-12 0.000082 0.000107 0.000142 0.000196 0.000282 0.000419 0.000674
2025-01-19 0.000080 0.000106 0.000143 0.000201 0.000295 0.000450 0.000751
2025-01-26 0.000076 0.000102 0.000138 0.000196 0.000292 0.000454 0.000778
2025-02-02 0.000073 0.000098 0.000135 0.000194 0.000292 0.000463 0.000818
2025-02-09 0.000070 0.000094 0.000131 0.000190 0.000291 0.000470 0.000852
2025-02-16 0.000068 0.000092 0.000129 0.000190 0.000296 0.000488 0.000912
2025-02-23 0.000065 0.000090 0.000127 0.000189 0.000299 0.000503 0.000971
2025-03-02 0.000064 0.000089 0.000127 0.000191 0.000307 0.000529 0.001057
2025-03-09 0.000062 0.000087 0.000124 0.000189 0.000307 0.000538 0.001103
2025-03-16 0.000060 0.000085 0.000123 0.000189 0.000311 0.000556 0.001178
2025-03-23 0.000059 0.000084 0.000122 0.000190 0.000318 0.000581 0.001274
2025-03-30 0.000058 0.000083 0.000122 0.000192 0.000327 0.000611 0.001390